Former President Donald Trump has gained his biggest lead over President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential campaign cycle, according to a new poll, as Thursday marks the second day of record totals for Trump.
In a recent vote published via CBS News and YouGov, 52% of the registered electorate said they would decide for Trump if the election were held today. Biden supported 47% of the 2,247 voters surveyed, while 1% of respondents said they “would not. ” vote” if Trump and Biden were on the ballot. The poll was conducted July 16-18.
Thursday’s results are a slight jump from a CBS News/YouGov vote taken in the days after the first presidential debate, where Biden’s performance raised concerns about the president’s ability to defeat Trump and serve another four years in office. the White House. From June 28 to July 2, 50% of the electorate said they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, while Biden supported him with 48%.
When asked the same question on June 5-7, 50% of the electorate said they would choose Trump, while 49% chose Biden.
The surge in polls comes a day after Trump broke his record in an Economist/YouGov poll, in which nearly a portion (49%) of U. S. adults said they thought Trump would win in November regardless of who won the election.
Polling research site FiveThirtyEight also gave Trump his biggest lead on average in national polls on Thursday. The former president raised Biden by 3 percentage points, a 1% jump from the previous day and a 2. 8% jump from the June 27 presidential debate.
Newsweek reached out to the Trump and Biden campaigns’ email for comment Thursday night.
On the CBS News/YouGov ballot released Thursday, voters were also asked how they would vote if the election were between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, who is considered Biden’s most likely replacement if the president resigns as the Democratic nominee. slightly older than Biden, still lost to Trump, 48% to 51%.
Of the electorate that indicated they were planning or leaning toward Biden in the fall, a portion said they would elect the president “primarily to oppose” Trump in November. 27% of Biden’s electorate said they chose him because they “like” the president, while 23% said they voted for him because “he will be the Democratic nominee. “
When asked similar questions, 58% of the electorate who indicated they would vote for Trump or lean toward the former president said they did so because they “liked him. ” 27% said they would vote for Trump “primarily to oppose” Biden, while 15% said they would vote for Trump because he “will be the Republican nominee. “
On Monday, the Republican National Convention officially nominated Trump as the GOP’s presidential pick for 2024. The Democratic National Convention will begin on Aug. 15, though leaders plan to hold a virtual call to expedite Biden’s selection as the party’s nominee ahead of the conference.
Kaitlin Lewis is a reporter for the Newsweek Night Team founded in Boston, Massachusetts. He focuses on national news and politics, where he has covered occasions such as the 2022 midterm elections, live cross-rallies, and candidate debates for Newsweek. It also covers legal and criminal stories. Kaitlin joined Newsweek in May 2022 as an intern before starting full-time in September 2022. She graduated from the University of Dayton and in the past worked as a news intern at the Cincinnati Enquirer. You can reach Kaitlin by emailing k. lewis@newsweek. com. Languages: English.
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