Monday, January 20. The Russian war against Ukraine: news and from Ukraine

Dispatches from Ukraine. Day 1,063.

Kyiv region. A Russian ballistic missile strike in Ukraine’s capital on the morning of January 18 killed three people and wounded three others.

DNIPROPETROVSK region. On the morning of January 17, a Russian missile attack opposed to the largest city in the region, which houses more than 500,000 inhabitants, killed another 4 people and wounded another 14.

Kherson region. Russian strikes across the region killed three local residents and wounded sixothers on January 19.

Donetsk region. Russian troops, advancing toward Pokrovsk, the last major city bordering the Dnipropetrovsk region, shelled the city, killing one resident and wounding another. Exactly 10 years ago, Ukrainian soldiers became symbols of resistance as they defended the Donetsk Airport east of Pokrovsk for 242 days.

In just 3 years of war after the invasion of Russia, the reaction of the president of the United States, Joe Biden, has aimed to survive Ukraine as a democratic country to completely rehabilitate the territory, reports time. At the beginning of the war, President Biden established transparent objectives: to ensure certain Ukraine. Survival as a sovereign country, to maintain Western unity, and to avoid direct conflicts of NATO with Russia. Although the United States has provided really extensive help, totaling more than $ 180 billion, its cautious technique has dismay Behind the support of the army.

Although Biden eventually allowed Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory and imposed significant sanctions against Moscow’s energy sector, he refrained from offering a clear path to Ukraine’s NATO membership or a promise of full territorial recovery, giving Russian forces time to cement their grip on occupied territory. Donald Trump’s return to the White House presents both risks and opportunities for ending the war, as his unpredictable foreign policy decisions could lead to a shift in U.S. support and alter the course of the war.

Biden Management has secretly invested $ 1. 5 billion in the production of Ukrainian drones, significantly improving the country’s defense capabilities to Russia. After the counteroffensive summer branch against the wide use of drones through Russia, the United States has accelerated for the brands of Ukrainian drones in September 2023, strengthening the links between US technological corporations and the Ukrainian brand this investment has strengthened the Internal drone production of Ukraine, offering technical components and intelligence personnel.

Russia has lost more than 20,000 army devices since the Invasion of Ukraine Almaximum 3 years ago. The data compiled through Oryx, a Dutch open source intelligence platform, which more than 15,000 pieces of Russian army devices have been destroyed, with 840s broken, 1,115 deserts and around 3,000 captured through armored vehicles of the forces Ukraine, adding more than 3,700 destroyed tanks. , constitutes the maximum losses of Moscow.

Meanwhile, Ukraine suffered really extensive losses, with more than 7,500 pieces of army apparatus lost, of which around 5,500 were destroyed and more than 1,150 captured. Despite the smaller scale of those losses, the relocation of workers and army apparatuses poses a formidable challenge to Ukraine, which may rely on far fewer resources than Russia.

The World Bank forecasts a decline in Ukraine’s GDP expansion to 2% in 2025, from 3. 2% last year, assuming the war persists the year. Yet, in spite of force production cuts and force outages, which are hampering industry and commercial production, Ukraine’s economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience. The World Bank forecasts a 7% rebound in the country’s economy through 2026, topic to the cessation of fight and reconstruction efforts. The ongoing clash has directly affected 41% of the Ukrainian population. Globally, economic expansion for 2025 and 2026 is expected to remain at 2. 7%.

The Kremlin that suffers with a shortage in development of global currencies, since the hardening of Western monetary sanctions obstructs 95% of its banking system, according to the Central Bank of Russia. Dollar and Euro returned in 2024, an impressive drop of $ 400 billion in 2021.

Despite the value of exports of Russian products of $ 420 billion in 2024, less than a fifth of these transactions were settled in dollars or euros, compared to more than 80% before the war, with 43% in Rublos and 38% in other currencies, basically Yuan Chino. Financial sanctions have been added additional to foreign currency, with Gazprombank, the last primary state bank connected to the Swift system, in the blacklist along 50 commercially family banks in November.

Exports of Russian oil products fell almost 10% in 2024, driven through a mixture of Ukrainian unmanned aircraft in key refineries, a construction in interest rates and the tension of the sanctions. These points have seriously limited Russia’s ability to its export levels, especially for subtle products such as gasoline, diesel and fuel. Although Russia has tried to compensate for these losses through the expansion of crude oil exports to markets in India, China and Turkey, it faces serious limitations to compensate for lost cases in the West.

Ukrainian attacks against bunnings operated through primary oil corporations such as Lukoil and Gazprom Noft have interrupted additional production and exports, aggravated through the prohibition of Moscow of self -imposed gas exports. Despite a slight rebound in December, the general exports of Russian oil products fell 9% fell 9%, marking the lowest titles since 2012. Adjustment, China imported a record of 108. 5 million tons of crude oil from Russia the year the year past.

By Danylo Nosov, Alan Sacks.

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