Joe Biden and Donald Trump remain locked in a tight war to win the popular vote in November’s presidential election, according to a series of recent polls, although Republican Brandon enjoys merit in key states.
Trump and Biden appear poised for a 2020 election rematch after both became the presumptive presidential nominees of their respective parties following a string of No. 1 victories in March.
After the 2020 election, in which Trump refused to concede defeat to Biden despite the courts dismissing his allegations of voter fraud, the 2024 election is expected to be exceptionally bitter. In recent months, Biden and Trump have accused each other of posing a risk to American democracy.
An Emerson College vote of 1,438 registered voters on April 2-3 puts Trump at 43% to Biden’s 42% and 8% for independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In a direct face-to-face with all the other candidates. And with no secure electorate out of the way, the Republican challenger won 51% of the vote to 49% for the current Democratic president. Among the most likely electorate, however, Biden is ahead 51-49, said Spencer Kimball, Emerson’s chief executive. University survey.
A YouGov poll, conducted for The Economist, puts Trump and Biden tied at 43% each, with Kennedy Jr. in third place at 2%. The survey of 1,601 registered voters was conducted between March 30 and April 2.
Between March 29 and March 31, 1,092 likely voters were polled through The Trafalgar Group, a polling organization that has been criticized for its pro-Republican Party effects and opaque methods. That gave Trump a roughly 3-point lead over the former president at 43. 1. % of the vote to Biden’s 39. 8%.
However, two polls conducted by Morning Consult and Big Village in late March gave Biden a two-point lead over his rival. Morning Consult surveyed 6,018 registered voters between March 29 and March 31, putting Biden at 44% to Trump’s 42%.
A Big Village vote of 1,477 electors, likely conducted around the same time, gave Biden a score of 41. 9 percent, compared to Trump’s 39. 7 percent.
A series of polls conducted in seven swing states via the Wall Street Journal between March 17 and 24 gave Trump the lead in six states, with his presidential rivals tied for seventh.
In North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, the poll found Trump six points, five points and four points ahead, respectively. In Michigan, the former president had a three-point lead.
Pennsylvania and Georgia were closer, with Trump leading 3 points and 1 point, respectively. The two applicants were tied in Wisconsin at 46 percent. In the seven states, 600 registered voters were surveyed.
Another Franklin Poll
Newsweek reached out to representatives for Joe Biden’s and Donald Trump’s presidential campaigns via email Friday at 6 a. m. ET. This article will be updated if any of the campaigns provide feedback.
According to Polymarket, an online prediction platform where users can bet on global events, Biden’s chances of winning in November have especially increased since February. Earlier this month, Biden was given a 44% chance of victory, up from 47%, a big improvement from Feb. 25, when the Republican gave Biden a 54% chance to Biden’s 33%.
Trump’s bid for a second term in the White House can be confusing because of the four criminal trials he faces. The presumptive Republican nominee accused of facilitating the payment of secret cash to a pornographic actress, mishandling classified documents and breaking the law while making a attempt to overturn the final results of the 2020 election, either nationally and in the state of Georgia in particular. He has pleaded not guilty to all charges and says the allegations against him are politically motivated.
James Bickerton is a reporter for Newsweek U. S. News founded in London, UK. His goal is to cover American politics and global politics. He covered the intersection between politics and emerging technologies, such as synthetic intelligence. James joined Newsweek in July 2022 from LBC and previously worked for the Daily Express. He graduated from the University of Oxford. Languages: English. Twitter: @JBickertonUK.
You can contact James by emailing j. bickerton@newsweek. com